Saturday 13 October 2012

Saturday 13th October

A great start last weekend. All 3 bets winning thanks to away wins for Arsenal, Tranmere and Sheffield United. This weekend its all about the home wins! No international selections for the sole reason the prices were not accurate or worth investment. The odds didn’t reflect the risk, and the big nations were overpriced! So its League 1 and League 2 this weekend. Don’t let that put you off though, there are some cracking bets waiting to earn us all money.  I prefer to keep hold of my money than place a bet for the sake of it.  A selection telling you to keep hold of your money is better than a losing selection, so don’t be surprised if on occasions not having a bet is the pick of the week.  Not this week however, so let’s get down to business…


Back Tranmere (8/11, Blue Square) to beat Yeovil

Those who followed the selections last week would have read my write-up on Tranmere.  The pros and cons to their team, and why I rate them so highly this season – those of you who haven’t read last week’s preview, I advise you to do so. I can’t speak highly enough of the job Ronnie Moore is doing at Tranmere and the way his team are playing.  I don’t expect the winning run to end this weekend, they have too much class for a Yeovil side who leak goals.

Yeovil stopped the rot last weekend with their first win in 7 matches, a 3-1 home win against a Colchester side who don't travel well, winning once in 15 away fixtures.  The one concern I have tomorrow is Yeovil know where the back of the net is, scoring 17 goals this season.  However they don’t have a star striker up front and Tranmere possess the best defence in the league, conceding only 6 goals.

Nothing here to suggest the Tranmere Rovers Express will slow down anytime soon. Another home win and goals to add to the 13 they have already scored in 5 home games this season.

Back Gillingham (7/10, Bet Victor) to beat Aldershot

Unfancied preseason for promotion, Gillingham are at the summit of League 2, and rightly so. Martin Allen is well known for leasing new life into teams when he initially takes charge as manager but it doesn’t always last. He gets the best out of his players, he makes training fun and creates a great togetherness in the dressing room. Only the other week when they played away "Mad Dog" Allen let a female post office worker, a fan he meet when leaving the team bus, deliver his team talk! I believe Allen's Gillingham will last the season at the hefty heights and gain promotion.  Not only do they have a good manager, they have good squad depth with many talented players. A solid defence and two good young midfielders. Upfront they have the lot, Danny Kedwell is the out and out striker who puts the ball in the net (8 in 11).  Former premiership striker Deon Burton pulls the strings, at 35 Burton still looks divisions better than league two, picking his passes creating many chances and helping out with his fair share of goals (4 in 10).  Robbie Findley the speed demon has to make do with a position on the bench, such is their strength.

Aldershot are 2nd from bottom with 8 points to their name after 11 games.  With 2 wins, 2 draws and 7 losses. They have scored a lowly 10 goals this season and have relied heavily on Craig Reid to score them (6 this season). Aldershot have lost their last 5 games in a row, conceding 10 goals in those fixtures and 17 goals in total this season. On that kind of form they will be in trouble against the league leaders.

I don’t see Aldershot’s losing streak ending today. Gillingham have too much strength and too many options in the team not to win this games. Another disappointing coach journey home for the away side.

Back Fleetwood Town (4/6, William Hill) to beat Wycombe Wanderers

2 teams that are heading in different directions meet at Park Avenue on Saturday.  Fleetwood gained promotion last season as Conference Champions.  This is their first season in the football leagues and they have started well.  Wycombe were relegated from League 1 last season and have started the new season very poorly. Fleetwood are 3rd in League 2, collecting 21 points from 11 games, Winning 6, drawing 3 and losing 2. Fleetwood have a wealth of strikers to choose from upfront with all 4 strikers in good form so far this season. Ball, Gillespie and Mangan have each scored twice and football league veteran John Park has scored 3 times.  They have goals throughout the team, scoring 18 goals this season, only conceding on 10 occasions. Fleetwood haven't lost in their last 4 matches and I expect them to beat a poor Wycombe side at home.

Things haven't got any better for Wycombe since being relegated last season.  They are one place above the relegation zone thanks to a goal difference of -6 and have only picked up 8 points with 2 wins, 2 draws, 6 loses.  They have played one less game than the rest of the league, having only played 10.  Wycombe are averaging a goal a game, having scored only 10 goals, with their strikers struggling with 2 between them. Wycombe have won their last 2 games, at home in the league to Torquay and away in the Football League Trophy at Portsmouth. Don’t let those wins fall you, Wycombe are not a good side, having won before once in 20 games!

Expect Fleetwood to keep marching on in this one and for Wycombe to get back to losing ways.

No comments:

Post a Comment