Saturday 27 October 2012

Saturday 27th October

After 2 wins and 2 disappointing loses in midweek it’s back to League football with a full list of games to pick winning selections from.  This weekend it’s all about the goals!! With a tight fixture list in all 4 English divisions, goals look the most appealing. 6 matches stood out as over 2.5 goals and I have narrowed those down to my 3 favourites.

Back Over 2.5 goal (8/13, Coral) in the Cardiff/Burnley game
Cardiff are joint top of the Championship. Leicester are currently top thanks to a better goal difference than the bluebirds. Cardiff have 25 points from 12 games, winning 8, drawing 1 and losing 3, scoring 22 goals and conceding 15. The majority of Cardiff wins have come at home where they have a 100% league record, beating good sides like Blackpool, Birmingham, Leeds, Wolves, Watford and early high flyer's Huddersfield. Cardiff have goals throughout their side and a bucket load of experience in Premiership veterans Tommy Smith, Heidar Helguson and Craig Bellamy (Injured for this game) plus the likes of new recruit Nicky Maynard and regular goal scoring midfielder Guy Whittingham. You may wonder why I am not picking Cardiff to win this match considering they have won all 6 matches at home. The reason being is Cardiff form seems to have dipped in the last 2 weeks, losing away at Forest before scoring a late goal to see off 9 men Watford at home in midweek.
The possibility of Cardiff form taking a dip isn’t the only reason I have chosen to back over 2.5 goals. Another factor in this selection is they play a Burnley side who have scored more goals than any team in the league. They have the leagues top scorer in Charlie Austin, who already has 14 league goals this season from only 12 games! Burnley are a team who love to entertain and attack the opposition. They are 14thin the Championship, winning 5, drawing 2 and losing 5 matches from their opening 12. Below middle of the table doesn’t look an attractive position after 12 games but considering the tough fixtures and injuries they had at the start of the season, 14th is a very respectable showing. Terry Pashley has done a fantastic job since taking over in October. As well as scoring bucket loads of goals Burnley also concede bucket loads, 25 so far this season so over 2.5 looks the correct bet in this game.
With the talent both teams have in attack and the weaknesses both have at the back this game could go either way, one thing for sure there will e goals today.
Back Over 2.5 goals (5/6 Ladbrokes) in the Wigan/West Ham game
Wigan are 16th in the league with 1 win, 2 draws and 5 loses, scoring 8 goals and conceding 15. Wigan are an unpredictable side capable of beating the best teams in the league as well as losing to the worst! That being said Wigan are always competitive, they don’t have the wealth other teams have with Martinez doing his transfer business on a shoe string trying to unearth gems like Victor Moses who they sold to Chelsea in the summer. Martinez has done a wonderful job at Wigan and always sends out a side ready to fight for the team and leave everything on the pitch. Wigan last home match was a 2:2 draw to Everton, I expect more goals to come at the DW stadium.
West Ham did us proud at home to Southampton last weekend in our over 2.5 selection, scoring 4 of the 5 goals at Upton Park. In the preview last week I spoke about how West Ham like to play attacking football but don’t poses the best defence, not much has changed since last week. Andy Carroll is fit again and ready to lead the line tomorrow meaning Wigan’s poor defence will have their work cut out keeping him, Nolan and co quiet.
Wigan are in desperate need of a win and I expect tomorrow to be a lively game with plenty of action and more importantly, plenty of goals.
Back Over 2.5 goals (8/11, Stanjames) in the Tranmere/Preston game
The Tranmere train has slowed down since we backed them to win at home to Yeovil 2 weeks ago, losing their last 2 matches conceding 5 goals and scoring only 2. Tranmere have some of the best attackers in the league and a midfield that creates chances for them. The defence that looked so strong early in the season is now starting to form cracks with both Doncaster and Bournemouth showing that they aren’t unbreakable at the back, that's good news for us tomorrow.
Preston and Tranmere are 2 of the leading scorers in League 1 this season, between them they have scored 55 goals with Preston scoring 24 of them. Preston are 8th in the league with 6 wins, 3 draws and 5 loses, conceding 18 goals. Preston are a good side, they don’t have any standout stars in their side or a clinical striker with numerous goals, what they do have is a hard working team with goals spread throughout the side, meaning they don’t have to rely on a top marksman upfront. Preston last game was a 3:2 win away at Scunthorpe, lets hope there is more of the same tomorrow.
With both teams scoring plenty of goals this season, a Tranmere defence that looks shaky and a Preston defence that’s always questionable expect there to be goals tomorrow.

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